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Tesla Inc.’s Forward 5-Year Projection


Tesla is one of the largest and most notable electric cars manufacturers globally. Its sustainable business approach and early entry to business have placed it at a vantage point over others, and this trend is expected to continue in the next five years. Tesla’s popularity and growth will increase due to the volatility of oil prices, worldwide conflicts, such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the mounting pressure to reduce climate change and global warming. Tesla will experience favorable regulatory changes and economic, technological, and competitive improvement in the next five years.

Economic and Competitive Projection

Tesla will sustain a stable yearly growth, with its supply matching demand through 2027. Its revenues will increase by 60% to reach $8 trillion, with $644 billion in gross profit, $832 earnings per share, and an approximate gross margin of 40 % (Tesla Impact Report, 2018). The company will deliver approximately 23 million vehicles in five years with its current production. It will enjoy a multifaceted competitive advantage during this period and serve a bigger market. With high rates of transition to electric cars, Tesla models will become preferred. The company will have a high market share as demand for electric cars grow with slow development of alternatives. Tesla will make more money with the sale of its technologies and patents to other companies over the years.

Technological Projection

Tesla has kept abreast with technological advancements over the years. The company will maintain this status in the next half a decade, producing more reliable cars with long-range and sophisticated batteries and other components (Liu, 2021). In addition to increasing the range, the refined batteries will also improve power supply and experience little wear and tear. It will be cheaper and would occasion a price reduction in Tesla vehicles to $25000 or less for the compact car (Liu, 2021). The organization’s technological growth would be driven by qualified engineers and designers who would create efficient systems and robotics to ensure efficient, speedy, and more accurate production. Tesla will produce approximately 800 000 units in five years with improved technology.

Social, Global, Legal and Regulatory Projection

Joe Biden announced the ambitious goal to have half of the passenger vehicles electrified in the next decade. This presidential decree should boost Tesla sales by creating a wider market. However, the government will require the company to pay the federal tax that complies with the sales (Tesla Impact Report, 2018). Improvement in technology will lead to even lower emission compliance fees, with little to no fines over emission cases issues. After all, improved electric vehicle batteries almost completely eradicate emissions (Tesla Impact Report, 2018). The company will be required to pay electric vehicle and green energy proposals. Another expected legal change is increased tax credits extended by Tesla to customers. Presently, Congress requires the company to extend a $7500 tax credit to the new vehicles’ buyers, which will increase over the years. Government regulations will demand that Tesla use at least half American-made parts to assemble. It will also charge a lower tax credit if the battery is manufactured locally. Currently, Tesla sells regulatory credits to other automakers and will sell more patents and technologies within the next five years.


Tesla is the leading electric cars producers in the world. Given its early entry into this business segment, Tesla is better placed to take advantage of the increasing demand for electric vehicles globally. The company would experience continuing growth in sales and profitability in the next five years. Its technology will improve during this period, and the regulatory environment will become more favorable. The company will remain profitable and on the path to greater success because it is sustainable and considerate of societal needs.


Tesla Impact Report (2018). Tesla. Web.

Liu, S. (2021). Competition and valuation: a case study of Tesla Motors. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, vol. 692(2). Web.

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